Seasonality explains most of the price swings in airfare: summer, winter holidays, school breaks. But some of the sharpest spikes have nothing to do with the season. They come from a single event in a single city.
What Moves a City's Fares
Demand for flights into one city can jump for a few days because of:
- Trade fairs and conferences that bring tens of thousands of attendees at once.
- Festivals, marathons and major sporting events, especially finals and tournaments.
- National holidays in the destination country, such as Golden Week in Japan in late April and early May, or Lunar New Year across much of East Asia, when locals travel too.
- Holidays in the origin country, such as Thanksgiving week in the US, which fills flights out of US cities whatever the destination.
These spikes often hit hotels harder than flights. An affordable fare can still lead to an expensive trip.
How to Spot One Before You Book
- Look at a price calendar. A seasonal rise is gradual. An event spike shows up as a few expensive days surrounded by ordinary ones.
- Check the city's event calendar for your dates before you commit, especially for business hubs and capital cities.
- Check hotel prices at the same time. If both are high on the same dates, an event is the likely cause.
How to Work Around It
- Shift by a few days. Arriving the day after an event ends can cost far less than arriving the day before it starts.
- Use a nearby airport. Event demand concentrates on the main airport. A secondary airport in the same region may be less affected.
- Plan around holidays in both countries. Your dates need to work at both ends of the trip.
- If you're going for the event, book early. Event-driven demand rarely softens as the date gets closer.
How Wayzuno Helps
Wayzuno prices dates around the ones you choose and searches nearby airports by default. If an event is pushing up your dates or your main airport, the cheaper alternative is usually already in front of you.